Fernando Tatis Jr. appeared last spring with a broken wrist. Manny Machado played a month or so on a lazy ankle. The back of the rotation was shaky for big pockets for the second half of the season. His new closer took a month to get right. The trades did little to fill the void at first base, Juan Soto was rarely really Juan Soto in San Diego and Tatis’ PED suspension he torpedoed AJ Preller’s dream of a big three at the top of the order.
However, despite all the turning of the wheel and everything that went wrong in 2022, the fathers they found a way to end almost exactly as expected: Beating the Dodgers in a postseason series and a few byes (or maybe different decisions) away from the World Series.
To improve. Of course.
“This was a taste of things to come,” Preller, the club’s president of baseball operations, said a day after the season ended in Game 5 of the NLCS. “I think we all understand that we did not reach the final goal. I think the most important thing going forward is understanding that there are a couple of steps ahead, but I think the experiences that we’ve all had here over the last six to eight months will serve us well going forward to finally get to that big stage and do what we want to do as an organization.”
Now, with the World Series over, Preller and Co. can officially begin tackling the business at hand:
a registration issue
- Completion 2022: 89-73, 2North Dakota at NL West (lost at NLCS)
- Draft 2023 position: 27the
- The Padres started 2022 in a six-man rotation, had as many as seven at a time, traded their best young arm (mackenzie gore) in the deal that scored Soto and ended the season with just three starters they could count on in a playoff series. Yu Darvish, blake snell Y Joe Musgrove We’ll be together for at least one more year, but the search for the initial launch depth (4th and 5th arm (and 6th to 8th)) seems to be the highest priority. Those plans envisage including the expansion by Adrian Morejon use, but he won’t jump from 47 1/3 total innings in 2022 in his first year without Tommy John surgery to a full rotation job. Nicholas Martinez could be an option if you opt or work on a new deal and newcomer jay groome (3.16 ERA at El Paso) showed himself well in 10 Triple-A starts after reaching the eric homer trade. But Preller will have to look elsewhere for weapons because obvious internal options like ryan times (6.73 ERA at Triple-A El Paso) and Reiss-Knehr (6.88 ERA at El Paso) took steps backwards this year, though the latter could be an option for Martinez’s vacant job.
- Removing Tatis from his PED suspension is arguably the biggest acquisition any team could make, let alone one that comes from an NLCS spot. It is necessary to map out how Tatis returns to the fold. Is it a shortstop pushing Ha Seong Kim to second base and jake croenworth in the hole at first base? Is he an outfielder, which allows the Padres to focus on first base/DH? Knowing Preller, there are dozens of variations on this equation on the table as the team weighs not only Tatis’ return, but Jurickson Profar’s potential exclusion and how to improve Josh Bell/Brandon Drury/Wil Myers rotation at first base/DH.
- Unlike last year, the Padres break camp knowing exactly who their closer is: joseph hader. The bridge to him, however, is a bit more shaky as Roberto Suarez is insurance to opt out in search of a bigger payday after his postseason success, Martinez will likely be in the rotation if he returns and pierce johnson he is a free agent. drew pomeranian he’s under contract for one more year but hasn’t released a pitch since August 2021 and is far from a sure thing to contribute in 2023, which means the pro scouting department would do well to find a few more low-buy opportunities as he did a year ago by unearthing Suárez, Martínez and Luis Garcia.
A look at the option decisions that will be made early in the offseason:
- OF/1B Wil Myers: This is a no-brainer, since the Padres would have to pay Myers $20 million for his worst season (.713 OPS) since his sophomore slump (.614 OPS). The Padres will owe Myers a $1 million purchase.
- DE Jurickson Profar: He has a $7.5 million player option against a $1 million buyout and could entertain himself looking for a better payday after his OPS jumped from .649 in 2021 to .723 this year.
- RHP Nick Martinez: He has a $6.5 million player option against a $1.5 million buyout and could test the market for a rotation job after thriving in various roles for the Padres in his first year in the United States.
- RHP Roberto Suarez: His scoreless streak to finish the regular season and his run of postseason dominance, until Bryce Harper’s home run that clinched the NL Championship Series, should earn him a bigger payday than the $5 million he’s owed for your choice of player. The Padres will owe Suarez $1 million if he opts out.
Outgoing free agents
- LHP Sean Manaea: His ERA slipped after a strong start to his tenure with the Padres, so much so that Manaea (8-9, 4.96 ERA) was skipped against tough teams in the final month of the season and didn’t appear in a playoff game until Game 4. from the NLCS. Manaea gave up five runs in 1 1/3 innings out of the bullpen in that appearance, likely sealing his fate in San Diego.
- RHP Mike Clevinger: An elbow injury prevented him from helping the Padres in the 2020 postseason, Tommy John surgery ended the 2021 season and a series of ailments, most notably to his right knee, made Clevinger (7-7, 4.33 ERA) a inconsistent player in his final year before free agency. Like Manaea, Clevinger’s appearance in the NLCS (0 IP, 3 ER) will make it hard to consider a reunion outside of the more friendly team deals.
- 1B Josh Bell: The 30-year-old switch hitter seemed to be earning a big contract with an .877 OPS and 14 home runs in 103 games in Washington, but he hit just .192/.316/.271 with three home runs after the trade to San Diego and had only a .715 OPS and 12 strikeouts to a walk in 10 postseason games.
- INF Brandon Drury: The 30-year-old hit a career-high 28 home runs, including eight after the trade to San Diego. His OPS, however, dropped from .855 in 92 games with the Reds to .724 in 46 games with the Padres and he had a .625 OPS and 11 strikeouts against a walk in eight playoff games.
- RHP Pierce Johnson: An elbow injury limited the 31-year-old to 14 1/3 innings in the regular season after a productive first two years (3.09 ERA) following one season in Japan. Johnson struck out six in 4 1/3 innings in the postseason and should have no problem improving his $3 million salary in 2022 on the open market.
- RHP Craig Stammen: The 38-year-old was left off postseason rosters after posting a 4.43 ERA in an injury-plagued 2022, but he served the Padres’ bullpen in various roles while posting a 3.36 ERA in six seasons in San Diego. He earned $4 million in 2022.
Eligible for Salary Arbitration
MLB Trade Rumors Estimates are in parentheses:
- Third year: LHP joseph hader ($13.6 million), C Jorge Alfaro ($3.6 million).
- Second year: OF Juan Soto ($21.5 million), L.H.P. Tim’s Hill ($1.7 million), R.H.P. Austin Adams ($1 million).
- First year: 2B jake croenworth ($4.4M), DE trent grisham ($2.6 million), C austin nola ($2.2 million), L.H.P. Jose Castillo ($900K), L.H.P. Adrian Morejon ($800K).
A look at the guaranteed contracts on the books over the next three seasons:
- 2023 ($126 million): 3B Manny Machado he’ll earn $30 million before getting a chance to opt out after the season. rhp Yu Darvish ($19 million), L.H.P. blake snell ($16.6 million), LHP drew pomeranian ($10 million) and RHP Luis Garcia ($3.5M) are free agents after the season, while RHP Joe Musgrove ($20 million) will start cashing in on his $100 million deal. H.H Ha Seong Kim and SS Fernando Tatis Jr. both will earn $7 million, though Tatis’ pay won’t officially begin until his suspension ends. The Padres also owe $13 million over each of the next three seasons to eric homer.
- 2024 ($82 million): Provided he doesn’t opt out, Machado ($30 million) accounts for the biggest spender, followed by Musgrove ($20 million), Hosmer’s penultimate year ($13 million), Tatis ($11 million) and Kim ($8 million). ) in the final year of his original four-year contract.
- 2025 ($83 million): Because the Padres and Kim share an $8 million mutual option, the only contracts currently on the books for this year are Machado ($30 million), Musgrove ($20 million), Tatis ($20 million) and the final year of the contract. Hosmer ($13 million). ).
Notables eligible for the Rule 5 draft
- Triple A: LHP Tom Cosgrove, LHP Aaron Leasher, OF Taylor Kohlwey, OF Tirso Ornelas, RHP Jose Quezada.
- double to: RHP Jason Blanchard, OF Korry Howell, RHP Brandon Komar, RHP Moises Lugo, C Yorman Rodriguez, OF Agustin Ruiz, C Noel Vela.
- Only to: INF Charlis Aquino, INF Nerwilian Cedeno, RHP Keegan Collett, OF Albert Fabian, RHP Chris Lincoln, 1B Carlos Luis, RHP Hahazel Quijada, RHP Nick Thwaits, C Brandon Valenzuela, C Juan Zabala.
- First day after the World Series (Sunday): Eligible players become free agents
- November 7-10: General Manager Meetings in Las Vegas
- Fifth day after the World Series: Free agency begins; last day to submit qualifying offers (one year, $19.65 million) to free agents).
- November 18th: Last day to bid for contracts to players with less than six years of service time.
- fifteenthe day after the World Series: Players with extended qualifying offers must choose to accept or decline offers before this date.
- November 30: Last day to select a player before the Rule 5 draft
- December 4-7: Winter Meetings in San Diego (Rule 5 Draft on the last day)
- February 24th: The Cactus League game kicks off against the Seattle Mariners in Peoria, Ariz.
- March 30th: Opening Day (Rockies at Padres)
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